The disparity between the current and forecast continues. The current EMI again rose sharply, up from 53.6 in the fourth quarter to 59.8 -– its highest level since the end of 2013. The forecast EMI (an index based on forward-looking responses) dropped slightly to 56.6, but remains high by historic standards.
The survey revealed increased confidence among Swedish exporters – from small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) to large firms. However, differences remain between these two groups, with large exporters expressing greater confidence in current export patterns and the latter showing more optimism about future prospects.